A Portrait of America as a Banana Republic

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Banana Republic.
The May 2009 issue of The Atlantic features a 7,000-word article by Simon Johnson, former Chief Economist of the IMF. Johnson provides his own summary of how we have come to this, and draws interesting parallels between the US and other, developing, countries, who suffered from a sudden implosion of their financial sectors. He talks about the growth of America's financial sector into a business elite that dictates government policies across administrations and keeps getting bigger and bigger.

This business elite did not only bring the current crisis upon us, says Johnson, but it is also preventing the government from taking the necessary measures to get us out of it by fixing what's wrong. The solution he proposes is to temporarily nationalize all the ailing banks and financial institutions, chop them apart, heal them, and privatize them.

While Johnson's description of the excessive influence of America's financial industry is correct, he is mistaking the symptoms for the causes of America's current illness. The financial sector became as big as it is due to excess liquidity. Large amounts of artificially cheap money made the financial industry grow, and not the other way around. The reason for all this cheap money in America is China's habit of spending the proceeds from selling goods priced using an artificially low currency (RMB) to purchase US Treasury Bonds in order to ensure (artificially) low interest rates in the US. This arrangement, of course, was convenient for both China and the US, and each of them is equally responsible for it.
 
Ironically, most US economists seem to suffer from the same type of economic imperialism they are out to criticise. They refuse to accept the fact that anyone other than the US could be responsible for such a big crisis. Such economists talk about a global imbalance of unprecedented scale, but refuse to accept that it might have something to do with the fact that the world's third largest economy does not play by the basic rules of international trade (which include a free currency, IPR protection, and more).

Indeed, as Johnson points out, America must take an honest look at itself in order to come out stronger from the current crisis. This look should be pointed outwards as well as inwards. America owes this to itself, as well as to the rest of the world, and especially to China.

While China seems to be benefiting from the current crisis in the short term, America's current actions and lack of faith in its own values encourage China to push forward with a development model that is not viable. This model, based on foreign and government investment in cheap manufacturing and fixed assets - instead of in human capital and healthcare -  will only lead to further financial (and possibly political) woes down the line. But we'll leave this discussion for another time.

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Note: The views and observations expressed on this web site are published for the sake of public discussion and do not represent my personal opinion or the opinion of my companies, clients, and/or employers. If you would like to get my opinion on anything, ask me.

This page contains a single entry by Dror Poleg published on March 31, 2009 10:17 PM.

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